Democrats’ voter registration lead has drastically shrunk in battleground states across the country, striking fear into Democrats that the 2022 midterms will be a red wave.
In Florida, Democrats are only leading Republicans in voter registration by 24,000. That number has come down substantially from 100,000 in January. When Obama ran for office in 2008, for instance, the state had over 700,000 more registered Democrats.
Pennsylvania Democrats are also dropping registered voters. In just two years, Republicans have gained nearly 200,000 voters. Democrats currently lead Republicans by 632,000, down from 813,885.
In North Carolina, the Democrats’ advantage has dropped 140,000 since October 2019. “There are fewer active registered Democrats on the books in North Carolina now than there were six years ago,” the Hill reports.
A Democrat National Committee member in Florida, Thomas Kennedy, told the Hill the trend is very concerning.
“Obviously it’s concerning,” said Kennedy. “There are alarm bells ringing and I think the party and different groups are taking notice and trying to fill in the gaps.”
“I do think that the Republicans have put a lot of emphasis on voter registration,” he added.
“For Democrats, there hasn’t been a robust voter registration operation like there needs to be in Florida since the Obama era. There’s this emphasis on third-party groups and nonprofits filling in that gap.”
It should be noted Florida Democrats have tried to shore up their voter registration. Former gubernatorial candidate Andrew Gillum, who lost to Gov. Ron DeSantis in Florida in 2018, put himself in charge of increasing Democrat registrations, but he and his plans imploded.
Shortly after losing to DeSantis, Gillum was found in Miami with “a male sex worker, baggies that the cops suspected contained crystal meth and other narcotics, and a third man.” Gillum was married with children.
The debacle left Democrats hanging in the state. But that has not deterred the Democrat National Committee (DNC) from creating a new effort in 2022 to only reach “communities of color” in battleground states, such as Arizona, Florida, Texas, Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Nevada.
“Voter registration is immensely important, but it’s not the end-all be-all,” a national Democrat strategist conveyed to the Hill. “That being said, I think with a lot of these new voter restrictions, with the political landscape in 2022 being what it is, it’d be smart for us to try to pad out voter registration as much as possible, because part of this is a numbers game.”
Voter registration may not be the only challenge for Democrats. President Biden’s approval numbers in battleground states are also a negative factor.
According to Civiqs polling that Breitbart News reported in September, overall, in 25 out of 27 seats in 18 battleground states, Biden’s approval rating is underwater.
In 12 out of 13 races where Republicans currently hold the seat, Biden has a negative approval rating. In seats currently held by a Democrat, 13 out of 14 seats face Biden’s underwater approval rating.